In plain English

Free cash flow (FCF) = cash from operations − capital expenditures

Profit is an accounting number. Cash is what pays the dividend.

Example

A company generates $500 million from operations and spends $200 million on equipment. Its free cash flow is $300 million. If it pays $250 million in dividends, the dividend is covered, but with little room to spare.

Why it matters

A dividend that is not covered by free cash flow has to be paid from debt or savings, which cannot continue for long.

Common mistakes

  • Looking at one year. Cash flow can be uneven.
  • Forgetting that heavy investment can reduce FCF for good reasons.